Consultant - Development Indicators Specialist (Constructing Composite District Indices for Policy Planning for all the districts in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa)
Ministry of Finance and UNDP Pakistan has signed an agreement for the initiation of a Strengthening PRS Monitoring Project (2008-2012). The objective of the Project is to strengthen institutional capacities for results-based monitoring and evaluation of poverty reduction strategies at Federal and Provincial levels.
Under this project, a Strengthening PRS Monitoring provincial secretariat has been established in Planning & Development (P&D) Department, Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (GoKP).
In Pakistan the scarcity of resources in relation to the growing needs of the population, of which more than one third is living in poverty, establishes the importance of effective targeting and utilization of resources for positive impact on the lives of the poor. It is therefore imperative that resource allocations are guided by availability of accurate data at the district level that captures the multi-dimensional nature of poverty. In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa this data is available from various sources like Multiple Indicators Cluster Survey (MICS), Pakistan Social & Living Standard Measurement Survey (PSLM), Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey, Labour Force Survey and Population and Housing Census covering different dimensions at provincial and district levels as per their mandates.
Development planning and the subsequent social spending based on geographical measure of progress or deprivation brings along more impact in the shape of improving well-being. The district level data is available from MICS and other credible sources on which the districts can be ranked in terms of Human Development Index (HDI) and Indices of Multiple Deprivations (IMD). These composite indices will inform the development planning process by enabling district-wise ranking in term of multidimensional development needs. The Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa government as a result will be in a stronger position to prioritize its social sector investments in districts in order to attain increased developmental impact.
P&D Department Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa has finalized MICS 2008 where it has collected data against 84 indicators mainly covering the health & hygiene, education and social protection sectors among others. MICS 2008 & 2001 reports would serve as main source documents for the assignment. This assignment would fully analyze this latest data set and come up with the latest situation of district-wise Human Development Index using indicators closest to the standard UNDP HDI recommended variables and Indices of Multiple Deprivations (IMD) for a multidimensional focus on poverty. Supporting analysis from relevant authentic reports for example the Food Security Reports can be used to strengthen the findings.
The Indices of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) will be developed for divisions, district and for urban and rural areas, while the disaggregation of HDI will depend on the availability of relevant data.
An attempt will also be made to estimate the impact of flood on the magnitude of indices based on the official estimates of district-wise economic and infrastructure loses.
The overall objective of the assignment is to improve effectiveness of district-wise resource allocations and investments in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa, by informing policy level discourse and the developmental planning process on the prevalence of the multidimensional nature of poverty.
(i). Construct District & Divisional Human Development Index and Indices of Multiple Deprivations in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Indices of Multiple Deprivations at District & Divisional level calculated for the following domains:
-Water & Sanitation
-Economic (Income or Wealth based poverty)
(ii). District & Division Ranked as per the estimated HDI and IMD
• Trend assessment conducted based on comparison of the HDI and IMD estimations as per MICS 2008 and MICS 2001 (provided that MICS 2001 is representative at District Level)
• Analyze the provincial ADPs for 2001 and 2008 to determine the fiscal allocations for these sectors
• Derive developmental findings based on the results of the composite indices, identifying districts with a prevalence of lowest HDI and highest IMD.
(iii). Estimate the impact of flood on the magnitude of indices based on the official estimates of district-wise economic, infrastructure and MDG related losses.
4. Report Preparation Process:
• The study report shall comprehensively include the above-mentioned areas and shall be prepared according to the professional standards.
• The consultant shall submit a report outline within two weeks after issuance of the contract covering the above-mentioned requirements.
• First draft of the report shall be submitted within 60 days, which shall be shared with P&D Department, Provincial Bureau of Statistics (P-BOS), UNDP and SPRSM Project.
• Consultant shall also make a presentation to the policy makers for their input.
• Final Report shall be submitted after incorporating comments of reviewers and policy makers.
The total duration of the assignment is limited to 40 workdays, spread over 90 days from the date of issuance of Contract. The report needs to be finalized by December, 2010.
The consultant will report directly to the Provincial Project Director and Provincial Project Manager of Strengthening PRS Monitoring Project KP.
The Strengthening PRS Monitoring Project will pay the consultant on submission of the following deliverables:
• On submission of Outline of the Study & Work Plan - 20 %
• On submission & acceptance of the First Draft Report-40 %
• On submission & acceptance of the Final Report - 40 %